Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
PSG
5 - 0
LOR
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
ASS
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
3 - 2
LOR
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 2
LOR
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
REN
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
DIJ
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 2
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 2
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
KRA
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |