Lorient vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
LOR
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 2
LOR
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
ETG
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
ANG
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NIC
3 - 2
TFC
41%
29%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
FCB
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 1
NIC
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 2
NIC
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |