Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DIJ
2 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 1
LOR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 2
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
SOC
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASN
4 - 0
LEN
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
REN
0 - 2
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |