Lorient vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
LOR
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
LHA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
REI
67%
22%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 1
ASS
42%
28%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
LHA
0 - 0
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
ASB
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |