Lorient vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 0
ESW
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
TFC
5 - 0
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
LOR
5 - 1
CSL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 0
LOR
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 0
MPL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
MPL
3 - 0
NAN
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 3
MPL
31%
26%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
MPL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |