Lorient vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
AMI
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NIO
4 - 0
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
STL
0 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
STL
1 - 0
GUI
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
3 - 2
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |