Lorient vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LIL
5 - 0
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 4
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |