Ligue 1 Round 28

Lorient vs Bastia analysis

Lorient Bastia
74 ELO 82
-6.9% Tilt 2.7%
234º General ELO ranking 710º
14º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
29.6%
Lorient
27.4%
Draw
43%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
Lorient
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43%
Win probability
Bastia
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorient
+7%
+4%
Bastia

ELO progression

Lorient
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 1999
MAR
Olympique Marseille
4 - 1
Lorient
LOR
73%
18%
10%
74 89 15 0
10 Mar. 1999
LOR
Lorient
1 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
36%
28%
35%
74 81 7 0
26 Feb. 1999
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 1
Lorient
LOR
56%
24%
20%
73 80 7 +1
13 Feb. 1999
LOR
Lorient
1 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
24%
25%
51%
73 84 11 0
06 Feb. 1999
MET
Metz
3 - 0
Lorient
LOR
63%
22%
15%
73 86 13 0

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 1999
BAS
Bastia
1 - 2
Nancy
ASN
65%
21%
14%
83 75 8 0
10 Mar. 1999
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 1
Bastia
BAS
48%
26%
26%
83 82 1 0
26 Feb. 1999
BAS
Bastia
1 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
64%
23%
14%
83 77 6 0
13 Feb. 1999
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
69%
19%
13%
83 88 5 0
06 Feb. 1999
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 1
Bastia
BAS
65%
21%
14%
83 89 6 0