Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
LOR
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 4
MPL
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 2
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
ETG
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
REI
1 - 1
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 4
MON
21%
27%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
AJA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
GIR
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 2
TFC
25%
28%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |