Lorient U19 vs Saint Renan U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+417%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
7º
4º
18
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
LOR
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 4
SCB
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
LOR
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 0
TOU
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
STA
55%
21%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Renan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 1
STA
14%
18%
69%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
AVR
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
4 - 3
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 2
SRS
79%
14%
8%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +2 |