Lorient II vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
12º
1º
49
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CES
0 - 2
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAN
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
USF
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SAI
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
GUI
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPM
0 - 0
GUI
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 1
FLE
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |