Lorient II vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
12º
1º
49
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CES
0 - 2
LOR
23%
24%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
LOR
11%
20%
68%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAN
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
USF
2 - 1
LOR
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SAI
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
GUI
20%
23%
58%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
GUI
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPM
0 - 0
GUI
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 1
FLE
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |