National 2 Round 25

Lorient II vs Caen II analysis

Lorient II Caen II
41 ELO 41
3.5% Tilt 0.9%
4254º General ELO ranking 7051º
92º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Lorient II
24.9%
Draw
30.3%
Caen II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Lorient II
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.3%
Win probability
Caen II
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorient II
-2%
-8%
Caen II

ELO progression

Lorient II
Caen II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorient II
Lorient II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
ROM
Romorantin
1 - 0
Lorient II
LOR
64%
21%
15%
40 50 10 0
09 Mar. 2013
LOR
Lorient II
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
36%
26%
38%
40 47 7 0
02 Mar. 2013
PLA
Plabennec
0 - 2
Lorient II
LOR
62%
21%
17%
38 48 10 +2
27 Feb. 2013
VCH
V.Châtillon
2 - 1
Lorient II
LOR
49%
24%
27%
39 40 1 -1
23 Feb. 2013
LOR
Lorient II
1 - 3
Girondins Bordeaux II
GDB
43%
26%
30%
41 46 5 -2

Matches

Caen II
Caen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2013
LEH
Le Havre II
1 - 2
Caen II
CAE
47%
25%
28%
42 42 0 0
09 Mar. 2013
CON
Concarneau
3 - 0
Caen II
CAE
53%
24%
23%
43 46 3 -1
02 Mar. 2013
CAE
Caen II
1 - 0
V.Châtillon
VCH
49%
24%
27%
42 40 2 +1
23 Feb. 2013
LUC
Luçon
0 - 0
Caen II
CAE
73%
17%
10%
42 54 12 0
16 Feb. 2013
CAE
Caen II
2 - 2
Les Herbiers
LES
27%
26%
47%
41 52 11 +1