Lorentzweiler vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 1
KEH
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
LOR
16%
19%
65%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 2
FFN
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 4
ALI
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 3
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
FFN
31%
23%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MLI
5 - 1
MER
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MLI
0 - 0
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MER
1 - 4
FCA
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 3
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |