Lorentzweiler vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ORA
1 - 8
LOR
8%
14%
78%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LOR
4 - 1
STE
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 2
LOR
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOR
50%
21%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MLI
1 - 2
LOR
48%
23%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 2
MER
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
KEH
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BOE
1 - 2
MER
10%
17%
74%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
ALI
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |