Lorentzweiler vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
LOR
39%
22%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
JUS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
STE
1 - 3
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
JEU
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BWM
4 - 1
LOR
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
JUS
53%
22%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
JEU
5 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
78%
12%
10%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
MAR
47%
22%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
FFN
46%
22%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |