Lorentzweiler vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
KEH
3 - 0
LOR
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 5
DCE
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ATE
5 - 2
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 4
FCA
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FFN
3 - 2
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FFN
2 - 4
KEH
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DCE
0 - 2
FFN
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FFN
3 - 2
ATE
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCA
2 - 1
FFN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |