Lorentzweiler vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
LOR
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FFN
0 - 1
LOR
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 3
KEH
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DCE
1 - 0
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 3
FFN
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KEH
2 - 2
BAS
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ATE
2 - 2
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |