Lorca Deportiva vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 1
LOR
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 2
GRA
40%
26%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SAB
1 - 0
LOR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 2
LLE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VIJ
2 - 2
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
2 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 2
CEM
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 3
RCD
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |