Lorca Deportiva vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 0
LOR
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 1
PUE
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 3
RJA
69%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CDL
3 - 0
LOR
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 0
GRA
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
SEV
33%
28%
38%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CCF
1 - 2
MEL
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |