Lorca Deportiva vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
XER
3 - 0
LOR
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
NUM
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
LOR
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
RMC
1 - 2
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
EIB
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VAD
1 - 1
HER
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
HER
3 - 2
SPO
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CDT
0 - 0
HER
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
CIU
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |