Lorca Deportiva vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
MME
0 - 0
LOR
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PON
3 - 0
LOR
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 1
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 1
ALG
29%
30%
41%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 0
ROC
64%
22%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VAN
0 - 3
ARE
18%
26%
56%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
G74
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |