Longwood vs Winthrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 1
LGW
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
HPT
5 - 1
LGW
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
1 - 2
LGW
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
CFC
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
SCU
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Winthrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NCA
0 - 4
WTR
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PST
1 - 1
WTR
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
0 - 1
GWU
11%
16%
74%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
1 - 2
LGW
15%
18%
68%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
0 - 3
HPT
6%
12%
82%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |