GD Longos vs Fermilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GD Longos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ASF
1 - 1
LOG
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 1
OCA
25%
22%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
OCA
2 - 2
LOG
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 1
AIR
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SNB
3 - 1
LOG
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Fermilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FER
4 - 1
AIR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SNB
2 - 3
FER
10%
17%
73%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
MOT
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FER
5 - 2
FAR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SPA
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |