Longlier vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
OPP
0 - 1
LON
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAU
1 - 2
LON
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
LAR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LON
1 - 1
EBE
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 3
LON
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MES
0 - 5
BOM
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 2
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 2
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MES
1 - 1
LIB
23%
22%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
VAU
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |