Longford Town vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LON
1 - 3
WAT
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
LON
0 - 1
WEX
36%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
LON
3 - 2
WEX
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 3
LON
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
MER
1 - 4
KIL
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2009 |
SHE
7 - 0
MER
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 5
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 3
DUN
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
2 - 0
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |