LONGA vs De Valk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 2
LON
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LON
2 - 3
VVR
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 0
LON
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LON
2 - 0
WSC
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DON
4 - 4
LON
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DEV
0 - 0
VLI
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 3
DEV
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
2 - 0
IFC
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
3 - 2
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VVR
2 - 2
DEV
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |