LONGA vs Nemelaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WSC
0 - 2
LON
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LON
0 - 1
RKV
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LON
0 - 0
IFC
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 1
LON
46%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 2
JEK
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VLI
1 - 0
NEM
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEM
5 - 0
PSV
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 0
GEL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 3
NEM
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |