LONGA '30 vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LON
2 - 3
JUL
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SWZ
6 - 0
LON
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LON
4 - 3
RIG
60%
20%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
BAB
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEQ
1 - 0
LON
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 0
ALC
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HOO
4 - 0
MSC
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
2 - 3
JUL
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MSC
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
4 - 2
RIG
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |