LONGA '30 vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
AWC
2 - 2
LON
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
EVV
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOE
3 - 1
LON
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LON
2 - 1
HOO
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 4
LON
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
HSC
0 - 1
MHE
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MHE
3 - 2
DUN
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 1
MHE
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MHE
1 - 0
ROS
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STJ
0 - 2
MHE
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |