Long Eaton United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
LON
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HED
1 - 3
LON
29%
21%
51%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
LON
19%
19%
62%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LON
3 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LON
4 - 1
QUO
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
GRE
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
GRE
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 3
HAL
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |