1. HNL Round 27

Lokomotiva vs NK Varazdin analysis

Lokomotiva NK Varazdin
76 ELO 72
8.4% Tilt 7.6%
661º General ELO ranking 738º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.5%
Lokomotiva
24%
Draw
20.5%
NK Varazdin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
Lokomotiva
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
NK Varazdin
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiva
-7%
+4%
NK Varazdin

Points and table prediction

Lokomotiva
Their league position
NK Varazdin
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Zagreb
81
81
100%
HNK Hajduk Split
71
71
100%
NK Osijek
50
50
100%
HNK Rijeka
49
49
100%
NK Istra 1961
46
46
0%
NK Varazdin
46
46
0%
Lokomotiva
43
43
100%
NK Slaven Belupo
43
43
100%
HNK Gorica
32
32
100%
HNK Sibenik
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lokomotiva
NK Varazdin
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lokomotiva
NK Varazdin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiva
Lokomotiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
MAR
Maribor
5 - 2
Lokomotiva
LOK
44%
24%
32%
76 75 1 0
19 Mar. 2023
IST
NK Istra 1961
0 - 0
Lokomotiva
LOK
30%
27%
43%
76 70 6 0
11 Mar. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiva
1 - 0
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
57%
24%
19%
76 72 4 0
05 Mar. 2023
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
3 - 4
Lokomotiva
LOK
70%
18%
12%
75 84 9 +1
01 Mar. 2023
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
67%
19%
14%
76 85 9 -1

Matches

NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2023
NKV
NK Varazdin
2 - 1
HNK Gorica
HNG
45%
26%
29%
71 73 2 0
12 Mar. 2023
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
3 - 1
NK Varazdin
NKV
65%
20%
15%
72 80 8 -1
04 Mar. 2023
NKV
NK Varazdin
2 - 0
HNK Sibenik
HNS
58%
24%
19%
71 67 4 +1
26 Feb. 2023
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 1
NK Varazdin
NKV
63%
23%
13%
70 83 13 +1
19 Feb. 2023
NKV
NK Varazdin
1 - 3
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
21%
23%
56%
71 84 13 -1