Lokomotiva vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
8º
5º
41
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
HKS
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
LOK
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 2
LOK
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
SLA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 1
LOK
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 0
IST
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
NKV
3 - 2
IST
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
IST
2 - 0
NKV
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
IST
0 - 2
HKS
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 1
IST
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |