Lokomotiva vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
9º
7º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 6
LOK
4%
11%
86%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
3 - 0
LOK
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNS
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
4 - 1
LOK
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
DZG
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DUB
2 - 3
HNG
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
HKS
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
RIJ
33%
24%
42%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
OSI
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |