A PFG Round 10

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia Spartak Varna
70 ELO 64
-2.6% Tilt -2.2%
2034º General ELO ranking 1921º
13º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
53.6%
Lokomotiv Sofia
24.3%
Draw
22.1%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Sofia
+45%
-13%
Spartak Varna

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2004
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
67%
19%
14%
69 77 8 0
02 Oct. 2004
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 - 0
Nesebar
NES
60%
22%
18%
69 63 6 0
25 Sep. 2004
CSK
CSKA Sofia
5 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
71%
18%
12%
70 79 9 -1
17 Sep. 2004
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
2 - 1
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
57%
24%
19%
69 67 2 +1
11 Sep. 2004
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
73%
17%
11%
69 79 10 0

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2004
SVA
Spartak Varna
2 - 2
Beroe
BER
46%
26%
29%
65 69 4 0
01 Oct. 2004
SSO
Slavia Sofia
2 - 1
Spartak Varna
SVA
72%
18%
10%
65 79 14 0
25 Sep. 2004
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
5 - 1
Spartak Varna
SVA
70%
18%
12%
66 76 10 -1
18 Sep. 2004
SVA
Spartak Varna
2 - 1
Nesebar
NES
57%
22%
21%
65 63 2 +1
10 Sep. 2004
CSK
CSKA Sofia
6 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
78%
15%
8%
66 79 13 -1