Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
FKM
1 - 1
LSO
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
LSO
1 - 2
CSK
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
BER
4 - 2
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LSO
1 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
OFK
0 - 0
LSO
45%
29%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
DUN
1 - 2
BER
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
DUN
0 - 0
BOT
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
OFK
1 - 0
DUN
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
DUN
0 - 3
LSO
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
SVA
3 - 1
DUN
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |