Lokomotiv Ruse vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
16º
14º
60
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 67 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 57 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 56 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 54 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
62% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 98% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 1
KUB
87%
10%
3%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 1
LOR
87%
10%
3%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 2
CHE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 3
FCF
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UST
2 - 1
LOR
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FCF
0 - 1
LUD
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
LUD
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 2
BIS
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 2
FSV
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CMV
0 - 0
LUD
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |