V AFG Noreste. Jor. 25

Lokomotiv Ruse vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis

Lokomotiv Ruse Ustrem Donchevo
15 ELO 22
-8.6% Tilt -3.5%
13110º General ELO ranking 10762º
104º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
10.9%
Lokomotiv Ruse
16.1%
Draw
73%
Ustrem Donchevo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Ruse
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.9%
Win probability
Ustrem Donchevo
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Ruse
-68%
+28%
Ustrem Donchevo

Points and table prediction

Lokomotiv Ruse
Their league position
Ustrem Donchevo
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
16º
15º
25
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets III
61
67
98.5%
Fratria
61
64
80.5%
Septemvri Tervel
58
62
77.5%
Cherno More Varna II
53
57
38.5%
Chernolomets 1919
50
57
30%
Spartak Varna II
50
54
74%
Benkovski Isperih
35
38
41.5%
Riltzi
33
37
23%
Dorostol
34
37
35.5%
Ustrem Donchevo
10º
25
28
10º
97%
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
11º
19
22
11º
60%
Sportist General Toshevo
15º
0
17
12º
20%
Dunav Ruse II
12º
16
17
13º
38.5%
Volov Shumen
16º
0
14
14º
15%
Lokomotiv Ruse
13º
11
14
15º
31.5%
Kubrat
14º
3
4
16º
97.5%
Expected probabilities
Lokomotiv Ruse
Ustrem Donchevo
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Ruse
Ustrem Donchevo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Ruse
Lokomotiv Ruse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2024
LOR
Lokomotiv Ruse
1 - 4
Dunav Ruse II
DOR
47%
22%
31%
14 14 0 0
20 Apr. 2024
LUD
Ludogorets III
4 - 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
94%
5%
1%
15 46 31 -1
13 Apr. 2024
LOR
Lokomotiv Ruse
0 - 2
Riltzi
FKR
17%
20%
63%
15 31 16 0
06 Apr. 2024
BIS
Benkovski Isperih
7 - 0
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
53%
21%
26%
17 17 0 -2
30 Mar. 2024
LOR
Lokomotiv Ruse
1 - 2
Dorostol
DOR
27%
23%
50%
17 22 5 0

Matches

Ustrem Donchevo
Ustrem Donchevo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
UST
Ustrem Donchevo
2 - 2
Spartak Varna II
FSV
25%
22%
53%
23 35 12 0
14 Apr. 2024
CMV
Cherno More Varna II
2 - 2
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
75%
14%
11%
23 42 19 0
30 Mar. 2024
SVE
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
1 - 3
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
47%
23%
30%
22 24 2 +1
24 Mar. 2024
UST
Ustrem Donchevo
2 - 2
Dunav Ruse II
DOR
67%
17%
16%
22 16 6 0
17 Mar. 2024
KUB
Kubrat
1 - 3
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
6%
12%
82%
22 9 13 0
X