Lokomotiv Ruse vs Dunav Ruse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
16º
15º
16
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 62 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 62 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 54 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 1
LOR
94%
5%
1%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
FKR
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BIS
7 - 0
LOR
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
DOR
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
FSV
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SEP
4 - 1
DOR
84%
11%
6%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 4
CHE
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 5
FCF
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
DOR
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 3
LUD
15%
22%
64%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -2 |