V AFG Noreste. Jor. 11

Lokomotiv Ruse vs Fratria analysis

Lokomotiv Ruse Fratria
19 ELO 26
-6.3% Tilt -2.4%
13196º General ELO ranking 8277º
104º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Lokomotiv Ruse
21.9%
Draw
45.7%
Fratria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Ruse
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.7%
Win probability
Fratria
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Ruse
-68%
+412%
Fratria

Points and table prediction

Lokomotiv Ruse
Their league position
Fratria
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
16º
15º
61
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets III
61
67
98.5%
Fratria
61
64
80.5%
Septemvri Tervel
58
62
77.5%
Cherno More Varna II
53
57
38.5%
Chernolomets 1919
50
57
30%
Spartak Varna II
50
54
74%
Benkovski Isperih
35
38
41.5%
Riltzi
33
37
23%
Dorostol
34
37
35.5%
Ustrem Donchevo
10º
25
28
10º
97%
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
11º
19
22
11º
60%
Sportist General Toshevo
15º
0
17
12º
20%
Dunav Ruse II
12º
16
17
13º
38.5%
Volov Shumen
16º
0
14
14º
15%
Lokomotiv Ruse
13º
11
14
15º
31.5%
Kubrat
14º
3
4
16º
97.5%
Expected probabilities
Lokomotiv Ruse
Fratria
Promotion
0% 1%
Mid-table
100% 99%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Ruse
Fratria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Ruse
Lokomotiv Ruse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
UST
Ustrem Donchevo
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
55%
21%
24%
21 22 1 0
30 Sep. 2023
FKR
Riltzi
7 - 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
76%
14%
10%
21 34 13 0
24 Sep. 2023
LOR
Lokomotiv Ruse
1 - 6
Benkovski Isperih
BIS
81%
12%
7%
23 11 12 -2
16 Sep. 2023
DOR
Dorostol
2 - 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
44%
24%
33%
24 24 0 -1
10 Sep. 2023
FSV
Spartak Varna II
6 - 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
74%
15%
11%
24 37 13 0

Matches

Fratria
Fratria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
FCF
Fratria
2 - 0
Spartak Varna II
FSV
18%
19%
62%
21 37 16 0
23 Sep. 2023
SVE
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
2 - 2
Fratria
FCF
69%
17%
14%
21 32 11 0
16 Sep. 2023
FCF
Fratria
3 - 0
Dunav Ruse II
DOR
50%
21%
29%
20 20 0 +1
08 Sep. 2023
SVA
Spartak Varna
3 - 1
Fratria
FCF
86%
10%
4%
20 62 42 0
02 Sep. 2023
FCF
Fratria
2 - 1
Septemvri Tervel
SEP
13%
22%
65%
14 47 33 +6
X