Lokomotiv Ruse vs Fratria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+178%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
16º
15º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UST
2 - 1
LOR
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKR
7 - 2
LOR
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 6
BIS
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
LOR
44%
24%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
6 - 1
LOR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fratria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 0
FSV
18%
19%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 2
FCF
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCF
3 - 0
DOR
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 1
FCF
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 1
SEP
13%
22%
65%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | +6 |