Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 0-2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LPL
1 - 1
LUD
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
TNV
3 - 1
LPL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BVR
1 - 4
LPL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
LPL
2 - 0
TNV
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
LPL
3 - 2
SSO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
UNF
2 - 3
STR
2%
6%
92%
|
80 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
STR
3 - 1
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
STR
3 - 1
TFC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SDL
0 - 2
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |