A PFG Normal Season Round 21

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Sofia
76 ELO 72
-8.1% Tilt -6.9%
1966º General ELO ranking 2034º
12º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26.8%
Draw
23.9%
Lokomotiv Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.9%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
+9%
+26%
Lokomotiv Sofia

Points and table prediction

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Their league position
Lokomotiv Sofia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
38
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
74
74
100%
CSKA Sofia
70
71
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
59
59
100%
Levski Sofia
54
54
100%
Cherno More Varna
53
53
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
50
50
100%
Slavia Sofia
49
49
100%
Arda Kardzhali
42
42
100%
Lokomotiv Sofia
38
38
100%
Botev Plovdiv
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Botev Vratsa
11º
28
29
11º
100%
Beroe
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Septemvri Sofia
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Spartak Varna
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2023
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
5 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
43%
26%
31%
76 75 1 0
12 Feb. 2023
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
62%
23%
16%
77 65 12 -1
03 Feb. 2023
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 - 1
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
73%
17%
10%
76 57 19 +1
29 Jan. 2023
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
OLY
59%
23%
18%
76 70 6 0
27 Jan. 2023
PRI
Prishtina
3 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
38%
26%
36%
76 73 3 0

Matches

Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2023
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 1
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
52%
26%
23%
73 68 5 0
10 Feb. 2023
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
53%
25%
22%
72 75 3 +1
04 Feb. 2023
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
3 - 2
Sportist Svoge
SPO
69%
19%
12%
72 59 13 0
28 Jan. 2023
MET
Metalist Kharkiv
0 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
53%
24%
23%
72 77 5 0
22 Jan. 2023
VOJ
FK Vojvodina
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
54%
23%
23%
72 77 5 0