Lokeren vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 2
LOK
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
LOK
5 - 1
GEN
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
SDL
1 - 2
LOK
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LOK
5 - 0
KVM
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
KVC
1 - 3
LOK
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
LIE
1 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 4
BRU
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
AND
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |