Lok Stendal vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lok Stendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
ERF
5 - 1
LAS
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
BFC
0 - 1
LAS
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
SAC
1 - 1
LAS
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
LAS
1 - 2
DRE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
PLA
0 - 2
LAS
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 1
DRE
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
PLA
2 - 4
ERZ
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LOK
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
BAB
2 - 1
ERZ
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SDC
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |