Loja vs Iliturgi 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 0
CAÑ
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDR
1 - 1
LOJ
46%
24%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LOJ
1 - 2
BER
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
LOJ
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 2
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 2
CEL
31%
24%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARE
2 - 0
ICF
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 1
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ATA
4 - 1
ICF
60%
22%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 2
CDM
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |