Logan Lightning vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
LOG
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
7 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
6 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
LOG
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 3
PEN
60%
20%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 6
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | +1 |