Logan Lightning vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 4
LOG
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LOG
5 - 1
RED
45%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
6 - 0
LOG
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 2
HPH
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
IPS
3 - 2
LOG
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
ANN
0 - 4
MIT
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 0
MIT
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 0
MIT
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MIT
0 - 2
EAS
49%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
CAP
4 - 1
MIT
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |