Logan Lightning vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 2
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
LOG
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
7 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
6 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 2
ROC
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WOL
6 - 1
ALB
87%
8%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 0
IPS
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
7 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
4 - 1
ALB
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |