Brisbane Round 4

Logan Lightning vs Albany Creek analysis

Logan Lightning Albany Creek
23 ELO 25
4.6% Tilt 1.6%
10465º General ELO ranking 23333º
107º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Logan Lightning
22.8%
Draw
36.3%
Albany Creek

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
Logan Lightning
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.3%
Win probability
Albany Creek
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Logan Lightning
Albany Creek
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Logan Lightning
Logan Lightning
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2014
CAP
Capalaba
3 - 2
Logan Lightning
LOG
55%
21%
24%
23 23 0 0
01 Mar. 2014
LOG
Logan Lightning
0 - 3
Peninsula Power
PEN
15%
18%
67%
24 42 18 -1
23 Feb. 2014
QUE
Queensland Lions FC
2 - 1
Logan Lightning
LOG
79%
14%
8%
25 41 16 -1
31 Aug. 2013
LOG
Logan Lightning
7 - 1
Albany Creek
ALB
50%
22%
28%
23 23 0 +2
24 Aug. 2013
LOG
Logan Lightning
6 - 1
North Star
NOR
75%
15%
10%
22 14 8 +1

Matches

Albany Creek
Albany Creek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2014
ALB
Albany Creek
3 - 2
Rochedale Rovers
ROC
17%
19%
64%
23 38 15 0
01 Mar. 2014
WOL
Wolves
6 - 1
Albany Creek
ALB
87%
8%
4%
23 42 19 0
22 Feb. 2014
ALB
Albany Creek
2 - 0
Ipswich Knights
IPS
49%
22%
29%
22 25 3 +1
31 Aug. 2013
LOG
Logan Lightning
7 - 1
Albany Creek
ALB
50%
22%
28%
23 23 0 -1
25 Aug. 2013
WOL
Wolves
4 - 1
Albany Creek
ALB
88%
8%
4%
23 45 22 0