Lobos ULMX vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
78.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
8º
23
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
LUL
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 1
AGU
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 2
CAN
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
6 - 0
COL
83%
14%
4%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
ADP
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |