Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Lobos BUAP vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
LOB
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOB
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 3
LOB
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOB
3 - 1
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IRA
2 - 2
LOB
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CAÑ
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 1
ZAC
40%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ZAC
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 1
AUR
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 1
DOR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |