Lobos BUAP vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
LOB
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LOB
1 - 1
ALT
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
4 - 2
LOB
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
4 - 1
DOR
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
NEC
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
UAT
3 - 0
IRA
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
IRA
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAÑ
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 1
CHI
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |